While Joe Biden will be America’s next president, the 2020 election demonstrated that the basic building blocks of the US electorate are evolving.
Race, gender, and rural-urban identity politics clearly remain important dividing lines, but the 2020 election highlighted a greater amount of fluidity and ideological heterogeneity than the media consensus allowed for.
The black Democratic margin – while still high, at 75% – was the lowest in a presidential election since 2004.”Perhaps even more surprising, among Latino women, the vote for Trump rose from 25% in 2016 to 30% in 2020.
Traditional concepts of work will have to be expanded as we ponder how to address the problems of automation, rising inequality and economic precarity.
The capacity to attract the vote of the growing precariat has been crucial for the electoral fortunes of the Republican Party.